LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come with statement successes into this Saturdays match.
LSU defeat the Longhorns per week 2 and went to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. But during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take over a top-four place in the race to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point in the 4th quarter because their opener. Since he went 11 with three INTs into making decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU to the offensive launching in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. That contains the 45 they dropped on the street on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Could the No. 5 scoring defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and likewise win the bet up and the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling? Heres the breakdown.
Theres very little doubt in the skill of Burrow . Hes transformed to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
He is also working with a few of the getting groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is a physical existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal who will fill the place. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the toughest DB unit they have played throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by LSUs other competitions: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits in 33rd, although its safe to say they have yet to play with a QB of all Burrows standard. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but has a ceiling.
Burrow will face a menacing pass-rush, which will be completely healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their best pass-rusher coming in to this year, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line will be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive line, while his awareness must enhance in the pocket. Auburns according ranks 11th in defensive line yards, and is the very finest in the nation to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is 85th in sack rate. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee.
Together with the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit should develop big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most often considered DBU for the talent they have on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman group, if not longer, in 2019.
On the opposing side of him would be Kristian Fulton, who allowed the smallest sum of first downs last year out of returning FBS corners. It will be a push if given a chance against a pressured Trask Although this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, that hasnt got their running game going this season. A tackle broke at the point on his way to a 88-yard TD run . In spite of that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and is going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front may not be strong. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and thats including Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed from the Kentucky game.
If they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going it puts ways too much stress on Trask in a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned respect after week from the school football world. And while I dont expect them to come out with a win against LSU at Death Valley, I really do see this sport remaining most.
LSUs offense made incredible strides, and Burrow is just one of the more intelligent QBs in the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or anything near that. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will probably work out over time, since they much too much to change the wave in games have been relied on by the staff. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic against the physiological Chase or Jefferson to some late-game PIs.
But I do not expect this till late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in a lot of a slog until then makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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